Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-02 2.554154 2.688888 2.829186 2.986595 3.158788 3.342003 3.552439
2025-11-09 2.287512 2.476253 2.682103 2.924935 3.205739 3.522979 3.912469
2025-11-16 2.127906 2.344479 2.587823 2.884590 3.241092 3.661436 4.203761
2025-11-23 2.037969 2.278153 2.554781 2.901805 3.332758 3.860758 4.574143
2025-11-30 1.959311 2.216326 2.518440 2.906553 3.402504 4.031068 4.916813
2025-12-07 1.856172 2.117585 2.429434 2.837102 3.369283 4.061426 5.069472
2025-12-14 1.769527 2.033593 2.352663 2.776211 3.339734 4.090008 5.216656
2025-12-21 1.713973 1.984598 2.315931 2.762833 3.369487 4.197775 5.484106
2025-12-28 1.663892 1.939679 2.281382 2.749051 3.395832 4.300132 5.750884
2026-01-04 1.620171 1.900588 2.251910 2.739400 3.425674 4.407537 6.034300
2026-01-11 1.590524 1.877952 2.242241 2.755076 3.490805 4.569969 6.422926
2026-01-18 1.558580 1.850839 2.225079 2.758805 3.537789 4.707041 6.783823
2026-01-25 1.517831 1.812505 2.193628 2.744142 3.561474 4.817167 7.126950
2026-02-01 1.464319 1.755858 2.135753 2.689783 3.523097 4.826540 7.291298
2026-02-08 1.421419 1.711734 2.092979 2.654584 3.510959 4.876434 7.537449
2026-02-15 1.398959 1.694030 2.085435 2.669615 3.576709 5.060793 8.075307
2026-02-22 1.374301 1.672362 2.071289 2.673760 3.624817 5.218375 8.585507
2026-03-01 1.329753 1.622236 2.015509 2.613079 3.564573 5.179113 8.664118
2026-03-08 1.289910 1.577510 1.965967 2.559778 3.513384 5.152014 8.766228
2026-03-15 1.265420 1.553200 1.944509 2.548054 3.529774 5.249226 9.170381
2026-03-22 1.242085 1.529805 1.923519 2.535972 3.544507 5.344064 9.586606
2026-03-29 1.221011 1.508958 1.905459 2.527508 3.564573 5.450356 10.052749
2026-04-05 1.207567 1.498375 1.901823 2.541255 3.623382 5.637390 10.772431